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ITA Italy Serie C Group C · Fixture ·

Team Altamura vs Monopoli

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.63 expected goals
Away form
Home win30%
Draw31%
Away win39%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Team AltamuraMonopoli
Expected goals1.63Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under78% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo69% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
30% / 31% / 39%Match resultAway win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Team Altamura win (30.1%)Double chanceX269.9%1.43
Over 22% · Under 78%Goals 2.5Under78%1.28
Yes 31% · No 69%Both teams scoreNo69%1.45
1.63 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapMonopoli winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Team Altamura win30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Draw31%3.232.9031%0.0 pp
Monopoli win39%2.562.3039.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Team Altamura0.80

Home share of expected goals 49.1%

Total expected goals1.63Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 22% · Under 78%

Monopoli0.83

Away share of expected goals 50.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 31% · No 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Team Altamura

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Monopoli

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Win probability excluding draw
39%
5
Points from supplied form
6
0.80
Expected goals
0.83
Team AltamuraMonopoli
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Team Altamura signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Monopoli signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Team Altamura vs Monopoli FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Team Altamura win 30%,Draw 31%,Monopoli win 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.63 · Over 2.5 22% · Current selection Under