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ITA Italie - Série C - Groupe C · Match ·

Team Altamura vs Monopoli

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–11.63 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile30%
Nul31%
Victoire à l’extérieur39%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Team AltamuraMonopoli
Expected goals1.63Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de78% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon68% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
30% / 31% / 39%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Team Altamura win (30.1%)Double chanceX269.9%1.43
Plus de 22% · Moins de 78%Goals 2.5Moins de78%1.28
Oui 32% · Non 68%Les deux équipes marquentNon68%1.47
1.63 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.1 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapMonopoli winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Team Altamura win30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Nul31%3.232.9031%0.0 pp
Monopoli win39%2.562.3039.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Team Altamura0.80

Domicile share of expected goals 49.1%

Total expected goals1.63Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 22% · Moins de 78%

Monopoli0.83

Extérieur share of expected goals 50.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 32% · Non 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Team Altamura

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Monopoli

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Gagné probability excluding draw
39%
5
Points from supplied form
6
0.80
Expected goals
0.83
Team AltamuraMonopoli
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Team Altamura signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Monopoli signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Team Altamura vs Monopoli FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Team Altamura victoire 30%,Nul 31%,Monopoli victoire 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.63 · Plus de 2.5 22% · Current selection Moins de