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AUT Austria Regionalliga Ost · Fixture ·

FCM Traiskirchen vs SR Donaufeld

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.71 expected goals
Away form
Home win50%
Draw22%
Away win28%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win50% selection probability
Projected score2–2FCM TraiskirchenSR Donaufeld
Expected goals3.71Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over72% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
50% / 22% / 28%Match resultHome win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.4%)Double chance1277.6%1.29
Over 72% · Under 28%Goals 2.5Over72%1.39
Yes 70% · No 30%Both teams scoreYes70%1.43
3.71 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.6 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FCM Traiskirchen win50%2.001.8049.9%+0.1 pp
Draw22%4.554.0022.5%-0.5 pp
SR Donaufeld win28%3.573.2527.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FCM Traiskirchen2.14

Home share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals3.71Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 72% · Under 28%

SR Donaufeld1.57

Away share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 70% · No 30%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FCM Traiskirchen

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

SR Donaufeld

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Win probability excluding draw
28%
4
Points from supplied form
7
2.14
Expected goals
1.57
FCM TraiskirchenSR Donaufeld
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FCM Traiskirchen signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SR Donaufeld signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

FCM Traiskirchen vs SR Donaufeld FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FCM Traiskirchen win 50%,Draw 22%,SR Donaufeld win 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.71 · Over 2.5 72% · Current selection Over