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ESP Spain Segunda · Fixture ·

Cadiz vs Celta Fortuna

Archived pre-match prediction

Home form
Projected score1–12.62 expected goals
Away form
Home win43%
Draw26%
Away win31%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 43% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win43% selection probability
Projected score1–1CadizCelta Fortuna
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 26% / 31%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Double chance1274%1.35
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.62 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Cadiz win43%2.33
Draw26%3.85
Celta Fortuna win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cadiz1.45

Home share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

Celta Fortuna1.17

Away share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Cadiz

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Celta Fortuna

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Win probability excluding draw
31%
5
Points from supplied form
0
1.45
Expected goals
1.17
CadizCelta Fortuna
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cadiz signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Celta Fortuna signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Cadiz vs Celta Fortuna FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cadiz win 43%,Draw 26%,Celta Fortuna win 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under