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SRB Serbia Super Liga · Round 1 ·

FK Macva Sabac vs IMT Novi Belgrade

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.62 expected goals
Away form
Home win24%
Draw27%
Away win49%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 49% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win49% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK Macva SabacIMT Novi Belgrade
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
24% / 27% / 49%Match resultAway win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Macva Sabac win (24%)Double chanceX276%1.32
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.62 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Macva Sabac win24%4.174.2022.1%
Draw27%3.703.4027.3%
IMT Novi Belgrade win49%2.041.8350.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Macva Sabac1.14

Home share of expected goals 43.5%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

IMT Novi Belgrade1.48

Away share of expected goals 56.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FK Macva Sabac

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

IMT Novi Belgrade

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Win probability excluding draw
49%
0
Points from supplied form
12
1.14
Expected goals
1.48
FK Macva SabacIMT Novi Belgrade
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Macva Sabac signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IMT Novi Belgrade signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

FK Macva Sabac vs IMT Novi Belgrade FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Macva Sabac win 24%,Draw 27%,IMT Novi Belgrade win 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under