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USA USA USL Championship · Fixture ·

El Paso Locomotive FC vs Oakland Roots

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.42 expected goals
Away form
Home win43%
Draw26%
Away win31%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win43% selection probability
Projected score2–2El Paso Locomotive FCOakland Roots
Expected goals3.42Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over66% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 26% / 31%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Double chance1274.1%1.35
Over 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Over66%1.52
Yes 67% · No 33%Both teams scoreYes67%1.49
3.42 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
El Paso Locomotive FC win43%2.33
Draw26%3.85
Oakland Roots win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

El Paso Locomotive FC1.92

Home share of expected goals 56.1%

Total expected goals3.42Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 66% · Under 34%

Oakland Roots1.50

Away share of expected goals 43.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 67% · No 33%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

El Paso Locomotive FC

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Oakland Roots

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Win probability excluding draw
31%
9
Points from supplied form
1
1.92
Expected goals
1.50
El Paso Locomotive FCOakland Roots
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01El Paso Locomotive FC signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Oakland Roots signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

El Paso Locomotive FC vs Oakland Roots FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

El Paso Locomotive FC win 43%,Draw 26%,Oakland Roots win 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.42 · Over 2.5 66% · Current selection Over