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INT ペルー リーガ2 · 試合 ·

カルロス・マンヌッチ vs セサルバジェホ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.43 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利51%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利21%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利51% selection probability
Projected score2–1カルロス・マンヌッチセサルバジェホ
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー56% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
51% / 28% / 21%試合結果ホーム勝利51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes セサルバジェホ win (20.9%)ダブルチャンス1X79.1%1.26
オーバー 44% · アンダー 56%Goals 2.5アンダー56%1.79
はい 44% · いいえ 56%両チーム得点いいえ56%1.79
2.43 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
8.8 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
カルロス・マンヌッチ win51%1.96
引き分け28%3.57
セサルバジェホ win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

カルロス・マンヌッチ1.68

ホーム share of expected goals 69.1%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 44% · アンダー 56%

セサルバジェホ0.75

アウェイ share of expected goals 30.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 44% · いいえ 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

カルロス・マンヌッチ

2.40pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn0Losses1ポイント12

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

セサルバジェホ

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn4Losses1ポイント4

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
勝ち probability excluding draw
21%
12
Points from supplied form
4
1.68
Expected goals
0.75
カルロス・マンヌッチセサルバジェホ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01カルロス・マンヌッチ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02セサルバジェホ signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

カルロス・マンヌッチ vs セサルバジェホ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

カルロス・マンヌッチ 勝ち 51%,引き分け 28%,セサルバジェホ 勝ち 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · オーバー 2.5 44% · Current selection アンダー