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INT Перу - Лига 2 · Мач ·

Карлос Манучи vs Сезар Валехо

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.43 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина46%
Равен28%
Победа за госта26%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Карлос МанучиСезар Валехо
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под56% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
46% / 28% / 26%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Сезар Валехо win (25.9%)Двоен шанс1X74.1%1.35
Над 44% · Под 56%Goals 2.5Под56%1.79
Да 44% · Не 56%И двата отбора да отбележатНе56%1.79
2.43 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.8 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.6%Largest probability gapКарлос Манучи winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Карлос Манучи win46%2.172.0044.4%+1.6 pp
Равен28%3.573.1028.7%-0.7 pp
Сезар Валехо win26%3.853.3026.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Карлос Манучи1.68

Домакин share of expected goals 69.1%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 44% · Под 56%

Сезар Валехо0.75

Гост share of expected goals 30.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 44% · Не 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Карлос Манучи

2.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Точки12

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Сезар Валехо

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Точки4

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
26%
12
Points from supplied form
4
1.68
Expected goals
0.75
Карлос МанучиСезар Валехо
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Карлос Манучи signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Сезар Валехо signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Карлос Манучи vs Сезар Валехо FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Карлос Манучи печеливш 46%,Равен 28%,Сезар Валехо печеливш 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Над 2.5 44% · Current selection Под