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INT UEFA Conference League予選 · 試合 ·

マッカビテルアビブ vs ルガーノ

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利42%
引き分け27%
アウェイ勝利31%
Market-based forecastホーム勝利Tier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利42% selection probability
Projected score2–1マッカビテルアビブルガーノ
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー51% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
42% / 27% / 31%試合結果ホーム勝利42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)ダブルチャンス1272.8%1.37
オーバー 51% · アンダー 49%Goals 2.5オーバー51%1.96
はい 56% · いいえ 44%両チーム得点はい56%1.79
2.74 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
8.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
マッカビテルアビブ win42%2.382.2041.2%
引き分け27%3.703.3027.5%
ルガーノ win31%3.232.9031.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

マッカビテルアビブ1.50

ホーム share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 51% · アンダー 49%

ルガーノ1.24

アウェイ share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 56% · いいえ 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

マッカビテルアビブ

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム won 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ルガーノ

2.60pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn1Losses0ポイント13

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
勝ち probability excluding draw
31%
9
Points from supplied form
13
1.50
Expected goals
1.24
マッカビテルアビブルガーノ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01マッカビテルアビブ signalホーム won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ルガーノ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

マッカビテルアビブ vs ルガーノ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

マッカビテルアビブ 勝ち 42%,引き分け 27%,ルガーノ 勝ち 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · オーバー 2.5 51% · Current selection オーバー