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INT UEFA Conference League - Qual. · Partita ·

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Lugano

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa42%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite31%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa42% selection probability
Projected score2–1Maccabi Tel AvivLugano
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra51% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
42% / 27% / 31%Esito partitaVittoria casa42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)Doppia Chance1272.8%1.37
Sopra 51% · Sotto 49%Goals 2.5Sopra51%1.96
Sì 56% · No 44%Entrambe le squadre segnano56%1.79
2.74 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Maccabi Tel Aviv win42%2.382.2041.2%
Pareggio27%3.703.3027.5%
Lugano win31%3.232.9031.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maccabi Tel Aviv1.50

Casa share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 51% · Sotto 49%

Lugano1.24

Trasferta share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Maccabi Tel Aviv

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa won 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Lugano

2.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vinta probability excluding draw
31%
9
Points from supplied form
13
1.50
Expected goals
1.24
Maccabi Tel AvivLugano
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maccabi Tel Aviv signalCasa won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lugano signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Lugano FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maccabi Tel Aviv vinta 42%,Pareggio 27%,Lugano vinta 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Sopra 2.5 51% · Current selection Sopra