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INT オーストラリア FQPL3 · Round 24 ·

ACカリーナ vs ノースパイン

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score3–14.39 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利69%
引き分け18%
アウェイ勝利13%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 69% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利69% selection probability
Projected score3–1ACカリーナノースパイン
Expected goals4.39始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー81% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
69% / 18% / 13%試合結果ホーム勝利69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ノースパイン win (13%)ダブルチャンス1X87%1.15
オーバー 81% · アンダー 19%Goals 2.5オーバー81%1.23
はい 61% · いいえ 39%両チーム得点はい61%1.64
4.39 total expected goals正確なスコア3–1
10.0 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ACカリーナ win69%1.45
引き分け18%5.56
ノースパイン win13%7.69

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ACカリーナ3.39

ホーム share of expected goals 77.2%

Total expected goals4.39始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 81% · アンダー 19%

ノースパイン1.00

アウェイ share of expected goals 22.8%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitはい 61% · いいえ 39%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ACカリーナ

2.60pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn1Losses0ポイント13

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ノースパイン

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn0Losses4ポイント3

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
勝ち probability excluding draw
13%
13
Points from supplied form
3
3.39
Expected goals
1.00
ACカリーナノースパイン
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ACカリーナ signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ノースパイン signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

ACカリーナ vs ノースパイン FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 3–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ACカリーナ 勝ち 69%,引き分け 18%,ノースパイン 勝ち 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.39 · オーバー 2.5 81% · Current selection オーバー