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AUS オーストラリア NPL西オーストラリア · 試合 ·

ベイズウォーター・シティ vs ソレントFC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利72%
引き分け17%
アウェイ勝利12%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 72% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利72% selection probability
Projected score2–1ベイズウォーター・シティソレントFC
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー52% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
72% / 17% / 12%試合結果ホーム勝利72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ソレントFC win (11.9%)ダブルチャンス1X88.1%1.14
オーバー 52% · アンダー 48%Goals 2.5オーバー52%1.92
はい 44% · いいえ 56%両チーム得点いいえ56%1.79
2.77 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.8 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.7 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ベイズウォーター・シティ win72%1.391.2571.7%+0.3 pp
引き分け17%5.885.5016.3%+0.7 pp
ソレントFC win12%8.337.5012%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ベイズウォーター・シティ2.07

ホーム share of expected goals 74.7%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 52% · アンダー 48%

ソレントFC0.70

アウェイ share of expected goals 25.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 44% · いいえ 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ベイズウォーター・シティ

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ソレントFC

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
勝ち probability excluding draw
12%
8
Points from supplied form
6
2.07
Expected goals
0.70
ベイズウォーター・シティソレントFC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ベイズウォーター・シティ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ソレントFC signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

ベイズウォーター・シティ vs ソレントFC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ベイズウォーター・シティ 勝ち 72%,引き分け 17%,ソレントFC 勝ち 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · オーバー 2.5 52% · Current selection オーバー