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SRB セルビア スーペルリーガ · Round 1 ·

FKジェリェズニチャル・パンチェボ vs レッドスター・ベオグラード

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–22.69 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利27%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利44%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利44% selection probability
Projected score1–2FKジェリェズニチャル・パンチェボレッドスター・ベオグラード
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー50% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
27% / 28% / 44%試合結果アウェイ勝利44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FKジェリェズニチャル・パンチェボ win (27.4%)ダブルチャンスX272.6%1.38
オーバー 50% · アンダー 50%Goals 2.5オーバー50%2.00
はい 53% · いいえ 47%両チーム得点はい53%1.89
2.69 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
9.1 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
FKジェリェズニチャル・パンチェボ win27%3.70
引き分け28%3.57
レッドスター・ベオグラード win44%2.27

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FKジェリェズニチャル・パンチェボ1.07

ホーム share of expected goals 39.8%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 50% · アンダー 50%

レッドスター・ベオグラード1.62

アウェイ share of expected goals 60.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 53% · いいえ 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

FKジェリェズニチャル・パンチェボ

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

レッドスター・ベオグラード

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
勝ち probability excluding draw
44%
8
Points from supplied form
9
1.07
Expected goals
1.62
FKジェリェズニチャル・パンチェボレッドスター・ベオグラード
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FKジェリェズニチャル・パンチェボ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02レッドスター・ベオグラード signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FKジェリェズニチャル・パンチェボ vs レッドスター・ベオグラード FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FKジェリェズニチャル・パンチェボ 勝ち 27%,引き分け 28%,レッドスター・ベオグラード 勝ち 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · オーバー 2.5 50% · Current selection オーバー