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SRB Serbia Super Liga · Round 1 ·

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Crvena Zvezda

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–22.69 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile27%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur44%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur44% selection probability
Projected score1–2FK Zeleznicar PancevoCrvena Zvezda
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de50% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
27% / 28% / 44%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win (27.4%)Double chanceX272.6%1.38
Plus de 50% · Moins de 50%Goals 2.5Plus de50%2.00
Oui 53% · Non 47%Les deux équipes marquentOui53%1.89
2.69 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
9.1 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win27%3.70
Nul28%3.57
Crvena Zvezda win44%2.27

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo1.07

Domicile share of expected goals 39.8%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 50% · Moins de 50%

Crvena Zvezda1.62

Extérieur share of expected goals 60.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 53% · Non 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Crvena Zvezda

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Gagné probability excluding draw
44%
8
Points from supplied form
9
1.07
Expected goals
1.62
FK Zeleznicar PancevoCrvena Zvezda
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Zeleznicar Pancevo signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Crvena Zvezda signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Crvena Zvezda FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo victoire 27%,Nul 28%,Crvena Zvezda victoire 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Plus de 2.5 50% · Current selection Plus de