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KOR 韓国 Kリーグ2 · Round 17 ·

忠南牙山FC vs 安山グリナースFC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.63 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利59%
引き分け24%
アウェイ勝利18%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利59% selection probability
Projected score2–1忠南牙山FC安山グリナースFC
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー51% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
59% / 24% / 18%試合結果ホーム勝利59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 安山グリナースFC win (17.5%)ダブルチャンス1X82.5%1.21
オーバー 49% · アンダー 51%Goals 2.5アンダー51%1.96
はい 43% · いいえ 57%両チーム得点いいえ57%1.75
2.63 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
8.4 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gap忠南牙山FC winDifference+1.3 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
忠南牙山FC win59%1.691.5757.7%+1.3 pp
引き分け24%4.173.7524.2%-0.2 pp
安山グリナースFC win18%5.565.0018.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

忠南牙山FC1.95

ホーム share of expected goals 74.1%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 49% · アンダー 51%

安山グリナースFC0.68

アウェイ share of expected goals 25.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 43% · いいえ 57%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

忠南牙山FC

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

安山グリナースFC

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
勝ち probability excluding draw
18%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.95
Expected goals
0.68
忠南牙山FC安山グリナースFC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01忠南牙山FC signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02安山グリナースFC signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

忠南牙山FC vs 安山グリナースFC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

忠南牙山FC 勝ち 59%,引き分け 24%,安山グリナースFC 勝ち 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · オーバー 2.5 49% · Current selection アンダー