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KOR Südkorea - K-League 2 · Round 17 ·

Chungnam Asan FC vs Ansan Greeners FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.63 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg59%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg18%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg59% selection probability
Projected score2–1Chungnam Asan FCAnsan Greeners FC
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter51% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
59% / 24% / 18%SpielergebnisHeimsieg59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ansan Greeners FC win (17.5%)Doppelte Chance1X82.5%1.21
Über 49% · Unter 51%Goals 2.5Unter51%1.96
Ja 43% · Nein 57%Beide Teams treffenNein57%1.75
2.63 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapChungnam Asan FC winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chungnam Asan FC win59%1.691.5757.7%+1.3 pp
Unentschieden24%4.173.7524.2%-0.2 pp
Ansan Greeners FC win18%5.565.0018.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chungnam Asan FC1.95

Heim share of expected goals 74.1%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 49% · Unter 51%

Ansan Greeners FC0.68

Auswärts share of expected goals 25.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nein 57%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Chungnam Asan FC

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Ansan Greeners FC

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
18%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.95
Expected goals
0.68
Chungnam Asan FCAnsan Greeners FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chungnam Asan FC signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ansan Greeners FC signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Chungnam Asan FC vs Ansan Greeners FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chungnam Asan FC Gewinn 59%,Unentschieden 24%,Ansan Greeners FC Gewinn 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Über 2.5 49% · Current selection Unter