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ARG アルゼンチン ナシオナルB · Final ·

アグロペクアリオ vs CAグエメス

Prediction review

ホーム form
Final score3–0予想 2–1
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利53%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利19%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 53% selection probability
Prediction 的中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利53% selection probability
Projected score2–1アグロペクアリオCAグエメス
Expected goals2.76Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー52% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
53% / 28% / 19%試合結果ホーム勝利53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CAグエメス win (19.1%)ダブルチャンス1X80.9%1.24
オーバー 52% · アンダー 48%Goals 2.5オーバー52%1.92
はい 46% · いいえ 54%両チーム得点いいえ54%1.85
2.76 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
8.4 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gapアグロペクアリオ winDifference+1.0 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
アグロペクアリオ win53%1.891.8052%+1.0 pp
引き分け28%3.573.3028.3%-0.3 pp
CAグエメス win19%5.264.7519.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アグロペクアリオ2.01

ホーム share of expected goals 72.8%

Total expected goals2.76Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 52% · アンダー 48%

CAグエメス0.75

アウェイ share of expected goals 27.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 46% · いいえ 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アグロペクアリオ

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

CAグエメス

0.00pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn0Losses5ポイント0

Signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
勝ち probability excluding draw
19%
4
Points from supplied form
0
2.01
Expected goals
0.75
アグロペクアリオCAグエメス
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アグロペクアリオ signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CAグエメス signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

アグロペクアリオ vs CAグエメス FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アグロペクアリオ 勝ち 53%,引き分け 28%,CAグエメス 勝ち 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.76 · オーバー 2.5 52% · Current selection オーバー