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HPS II vs LPS

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–35.48 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa29%
Pareggio21%
Vittoria ospite50%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite50% selection probability
Projected score2–3HPS IILPS
Expected goals5.48Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra91% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano86% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
29% / 21% / 50%Esito partitaVittoria ospite50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.1%)Doppia Chance1278.9%1.27
Sopra 91% · Sotto 9%Goals 2.5Sopra91%1.10
Sì 86% · No 14%Entrambe le squadre segnano86%1.16
5.48 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–3
9.9 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
HPS II win29%3.45
Pareggio21%4.76
LPS win50%2.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

HPS II2.23

Casa share of expected goals 40.7%

Total expected goals5.48Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 91% · Sotto 9%

LPS3.25

Trasferta share of expected goals 59.3%

Projected score2–3BTTS split 86% · No 14%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

HPS II

0.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punti2

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

LPS

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalTrasferta won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Vinta probability excluding draw
50%
2
Points from supplied form
9
2.23
Expected goals
3.25
HPS IILPS
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01HPS II signalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02LPS signalTrasferta won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

HPS II vs LPS FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 2–3 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

HPS II vinta 29%,Pareggio 21%,LPS vinta 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.48 · Sopra 2.5 91% · Current selection Sopra