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INT Iraq - Stars League · Final ·

Al Zawra'a vs Naft Maysan

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score4–0Pronostico 1–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa45%
Pareggio30%
Vittoria ospite25%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 45% selection probability
Prediction Vinto
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Al Zawra'aNaft Maysan
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto61% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
45% / 30% / 25%Esito partitaVittoria casa45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Naft Maysan win (25.1%)Doppia Chance1X74.9%1.34
Sopra 39% · Sotto 61%Goals 2.5Sotto61%1.64
Sì 44% · No 56%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo56%1.79
2.27 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Al Zawra'a win45%2.22
Pareggio30%3.33
Naft Maysan win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Zawra'a1.43

Casa share of expected goals 63%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 39% · Sotto 61%

Naft Maysan0.84

Trasferta share of expected goals 37%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Al Zawra'a

0.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punti2

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Naft Maysan

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punti6

SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Vinta probability excluding draw
25%
2
Points from supplied form
6
1.43
Expected goals
0.84
Al Zawra'aNaft Maysan
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Zawra'a signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Naft Maysan signalCasa failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Al Zawra'a vs Naft Maysan FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Zawra'a vinta 45%,Pareggio 30%,Naft Maysan vinta 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · Sopra 2.5 39% · Current selection Sotto