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INT Irak - Stars League · Final ·

Al Zawra'a vs Naft Maysan

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score4–0Prognose 1–1
Ude form
Hjemmesejr45%
Uafgjort30%
Udesejr25%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 45% selection probability
Prediction Vundet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Al Zawra'aNaft Maysan
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under61% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
45% / 30% / 25%KampresultatHjemmesejr45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Naft Maysan win (25.1%)Dobbeltchance1X74.9%1.34
Over 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Ja 44% · Nej 56%Begge hold scorerNej56%1.79
2.27 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Al Zawra'a win45%2.22
Uafgjort30%3.33
Naft Maysan win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Zawra'a1.43

Hjemme share of expected goals 63%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 39% · Under 61%

Naft Maysan0.84

Ude share of expected goals 37%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nej 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Al Zawra'a

0.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Point2

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Naft Maysan

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Point6

SignalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Vundet probability excluding draw
25%
2
Points from supplied form
6
1.43
Expected goals
0.84
Al Zawra'aNaft Maysan
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Zawra'a signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Naft Maysan signalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Al Zawra'a vs Naft Maysan FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Zawra'a vundet 45%,Uafgjort 30%,Naft Maysan vundet 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · Over 2.5 39% · Current selection Under