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POL Polonia - Ekstraklasa · Partita ·

Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.14 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa41%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite32%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa41% selection probability
Projected score2–1Motor LublinPiast Gliwice
Expected goals3.14Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra61% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
41% / 27% / 32%Esito partitaVittoria casa41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Doppia Chance1273.2%1.37
Sopra 61% · Sotto 39%Goals 2.5Sopra61%1.64
Sì 61% · No 39%Entrambe le squadre segnano61%1.64
3.14 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapMotor Lublin winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Motor Lublin win41%2.442.3040%+1.0 pp
Pareggio27%3.703.4027.1%-0.1 pp
Piast Gliwice win32%3.132.8032.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Motor Lublin1.86

Casa share of expected goals 59.2%

Total expected goals3.14Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 61% · Sotto 39%

Piast Gliwice1.28

Trasferta share of expected goals 40.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 61% · No 39%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Motor Lublin

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Piast Gliwice

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vinta probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.86
Expected goals
1.28
Motor LublinPiast Gliwice
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Motor Lublin signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Piast Gliwice signalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Motor Lublin vinta 41%,Pareggio 27%,Piast Gliwice vinta 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · Sopra 2.5 61% · Current selection Sopra