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ISL Islanda - Premier League · Partita ·

FH Hafnarfjordur vs Keflavik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.42 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa44%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite32%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa44% selection probability
Projected score1–1FH HafnarfjordurKeflavik
Expected goals2.42Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto56% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo50% for the selected side
Expected corners12.6Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
44% / 25% / 32%Esito partitaVittoria casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Doppia Chance1275.3%1.33
Sopra 44% · Sotto 56%Goals 2.5Sotto56%1.79
Sì 50% · No 50%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo50%2.00
2.42 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
12.6 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.5%Largest probability gapKeflavik winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FH Hafnarfjordur win44%2.272.0544.1%-0.1 pp
Pareggio25%4.003.7024.5%+0.5 pp
Keflavik win32%3.132.8831.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FH Hafnarfjordur1.27

Casa share of expected goals 52.5%

Total expected goals2.42Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 44% · Sotto 56%

Keflavik1.15

Trasferta share of expected goals 47.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

FH Hafnarfjordur

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punti6

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Keflavik

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vinta probability excluding draw
32%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.27
Expected goals
1.15
FH HafnarfjordurKeflavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FH Hafnarfjordur signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Keflavik signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FH Hafnarfjordur vs Keflavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FH Hafnarfjordur vinta 44%,Pareggio 25%,Keflavik vinta 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.42 · Sopra 2.5 44% · Current selection Sotto