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FRA Francia - Ligue 2 · Round 3 ·

Rodez vs Pau

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.31 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa51%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite24%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa51% selection probability
Projected score2–1RodezPau
Expected goals3.31Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra64% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
51% / 25% / 24%Esito partitaVittoria casa51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pau win (24.1%)Doppia Chance1X75.9%1.32
Sopra 64% · Sotto 36%Goals 2.5Sopra64%1.56
Sì 61% · No 39%Entrambe le squadre segnano61%1.64
3.31 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Rodez win51%1.96
Pareggio25%4.00
Pau win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rodez2.14

Casa share of expected goals 64.7%

Total expected goals3.31Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 64% · Sotto 36%

Pau1.17

Trasferta share of expected goals 35.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 61% · No 39%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Rodez

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Pau

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Vinta probability excluding draw
24%
12
Points from supplied form
3
2.14
Expected goals
1.17
RodezPau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rodez signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pau signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Rodez vs Pau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rodez vinta 51%,Pareggio 25%,Pau vinta 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Sopra 2.5 64% · Current selection Sopra