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FRA Francia - Ligue 2 · Round 3 ·

Rodez vs Pau

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–13.31 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local51%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante24%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local51% selection probability
Projected score2–1RodezPau
Expected goals3.31Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de64% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
51% / 25% / 24%Resultado del partidoVictoria local51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pau win (24.1%)Doble Oportunidad1X75.9%1.32
Más de 64% · Menos de 36%Goals 2.5Más de64%1.56
Sí 61% · No 39%Ambos equipos marcan61%1.64
3.31 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Rodez win51%1.96
Empate25%4.00
Pau win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rodez2.14

Local share of expected goals 64.7%

Total expected goals3.31Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 64% · Menos de 36%

Pau1.17

Visitante share of expected goals 35.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 61% · No 39%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Rodez

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Pau

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puntos3

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Ganado probability excluding draw
24%
12
Points from supplied form
3
2.14
Expected goals
1.17
RodezPau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rodez signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pau signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Rodez vs Pau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rodez ganada 51%,Empate 25%,Pau ganada 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Más de 2.5 64% · Current selection Más de