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Modena vs Cittadella Vis Modena

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.39 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa85%
Pareggio12%
Vittoria ospite4%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 85% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa85% selection probability
Projected score2–1ModenaCittadella Vis Modena
Expected goals3.39Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra68% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
85% / 12% / 4%Esito partitaVittoria casa85%1.18
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cittadella Vis Modena win (3.6%)Doppia Chance1X96.4%1.04
Sopra 68% · Sotto 32%Goals 2.5Sopra68%1.47
Sì 61% · No 39%Entrambe le squadre segnano61%1.64
3.39 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Modena win85%1.181.0786.9%
Pareggio12%8.339.0010.3%
Cittadella Vis Modena win4%25.0034.002.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Modena2.47

Casa share of expected goals 72.9%

Total expected goals3.39Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 68% · Sotto 32%

Cittadella Vis Modena0.92

Trasferta share of expected goals 27.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 61% · No 39%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Modena

1.50pts / match
Giocate4Wins2Drawn0Losses2Punti6

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/4

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Cittadella Vis Modena

0.00pts / match
Giocate0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Punti0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
85%
Vinta probability excluding draw
4%
6
Points from supplied form
0
2.47
Expected goals
0.92
ModenaCittadella Vis Modena
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Modena signalCasa failed to score: 2/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cittadella Vis Modena signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk15% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

Modena vs Cittadella Vis Modena FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 85% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Modena vinta 85%,Pareggio 12%,Cittadella Vis Modena vinta 4%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.39 · Sopra 2.5 68% · Current selection Sopra