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EUR Europe Friendlies · Match ·

Modena vs Cittadella Vis Modena

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.40 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile85%
Nul12%
Victoire à l’extérieur4%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 85% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile85% selection probability
Projected score2–1ModenaCittadella Vis Modena
Expected goals3.40Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de68% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
85% / 12% / 4%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile85%1.18
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cittadella Vis Modena win (3.6%)Double chance1X96.4%1.04
Plus de 68% · Moins de 32%Goals 2.5Plus de68%1.47
Oui 61% · Non 39%Les deux équipes marquentOui61%1.64
3.40 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Modena win85%1.181.0786.9%
Nul12%8.339.0010.3%
Cittadella Vis Modena win4%25.0034.002.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Modena2.48

Domicile share of expected goals 72.9%

Total expected goals3.40Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 68% · Moins de 32%

Cittadella Vis Modena0.92

Extérieur share of expected goals 27.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 61% · Non 39%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Modena

1.50pts / match
Joués4Wins2Drawn0Losses2Points6

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/4

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Cittadella Vis Modena

0.00pts / match
Joués0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalNon recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
85%
Gagné probability excluding draw
4%
6
Points from supplied form
0
2.48
Expected goals
0.92
ModenaCittadella Vis Modena
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Modena signalDomicile failed to score: 2/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cittadella Vis Modena signalNon recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk15% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

Modena vs Cittadella Vis Modena FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 85% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Modena victoire 85%,Nul 12%,Cittadella Vis Modena victoire 4%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.40 · Plus de 2.5 68% · Current selection Plus de