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SCO Scotland Lowland League · Partita ·

Cowdenbeath vs Broxburn Athletic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–23.87 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa35%
Pareggio24%
Vittoria ospite41%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite41% selection probability
Projected score2–2CowdenbeathBroxburn Athletic
Expected goals3.87Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra74% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano71% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
35% / 24% / 41%Esito partitaVittoria ospite41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.8%)Doppia Chance1276.2%1.31
Sopra 74% · Sotto 26%Goals 2.5Sopra74%1.35
Sì 71% · No 29%Entrambe le squadre segnano71%1.41
3.87 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–2
9.3 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapBroxburn Athletic winDifference-1.8 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cowdenbeath win35%2.862.7033.3%+1.7 pp
Pareggio24%4.173.7524%0.0 pp
Broxburn Athletic win41%2.442.1042.8%-1.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cowdenbeath2.37

Casa share of expected goals 61.2%

Total expected goals3.87Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 74% · Sotto 26%

Broxburn Athletic1.50

Trasferta share of expected goals 38.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 71% · No 29%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Cowdenbeath

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Broxburn Athletic

0.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punti2

SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Vinta probability excluding draw
41%
5
Points from supplied form
2
2.37
Expected goals
1.50
CowdenbeathBroxburn Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cowdenbeath signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Broxburn Athletic signalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Cowdenbeath vs Broxburn Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cowdenbeath vinta 35%,Pareggio 24%,Broxburn Athletic vinta 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.87 · Sopra 2.5 74% · Current selection Sopra