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SCO Scotland Lowland League · Spiel ·

Cowdenbeath vs Broxburn Athletic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–23.87 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg35%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg41%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg41% selection probability
Projected score2–2CowdenbeathBroxburn Athletic
Expected goals3.87Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über74% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa71% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
35% / 24% / 41%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.8%)Doppelte Chance1276.2%1.31
Über 74% · Unter 26%Goals 2.5Über74%1.35
Ja 71% · Nein 29%Beide Teams treffenJa71%1.41
3.87 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
9.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapBroxburn Athletic winDifference-1.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cowdenbeath win35%2.862.7033.3%+1.7 pp
Unentschieden24%4.173.7524%0.0 pp
Broxburn Athletic win41%2.442.1042.8%-1.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cowdenbeath2.37

Heim share of expected goals 61.2%

Total expected goals3.87Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 74% · Unter 26%

Broxburn Athletic1.50

Auswärts share of expected goals 38.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 71% · Nein 29%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Cowdenbeath

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Broxburn Athletic

0.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
41%
5
Points from supplied form
2
2.37
Expected goals
1.50
CowdenbeathBroxburn Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cowdenbeath signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Broxburn Athletic signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Cowdenbeath vs Broxburn Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cowdenbeath Gewinn 35%,Unentschieden 24%,Broxburn Athletic Gewinn 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.87 · Über 2.5 74% · Current selection Über