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CHN China Division 1 · Partita ·

Guangdong GZ-Power vs Guangxi Hengchen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa47%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite26%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa47% selection probability
Projected score2–1Guangdong GZ-PowerGuangxi Hengchen
Expected goals3.20Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra62% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
47% / 27% / 26%Esito partitaVittoria casa47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Guangxi Hengchen win (25.9%)Doppia Chance1X74.1%1.35
Sopra 62% · Sotto 38%Goals 2.5Sopra62%1.61
Sì 63% · No 37%Entrambe le squadre segnano63%1.59
3.20 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapGuangxi Hengchen winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Guangdong GZ-Power win47%2.131.9147.1%-0.1 pp
Pareggio27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
Guangxi Hengchen win26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guangdong GZ-Power1.83

Casa share of expected goals 57.2%

Total expected goals3.20Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 62% · Sotto 38%

Guangxi Hengchen1.37

Trasferta share of expected goals 42.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 63% · No 37%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Guangdong GZ-Power

2.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punti11

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Guangxi Hengchen

2.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Vinta probability excluding draw
26%
11
Points from supplied form
13
1.83
Expected goals
1.37
Guangdong GZ-PowerGuangxi Hengchen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guangdong GZ-Power signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Guangxi Hengchen signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Guangdong GZ-Power vs Guangxi Hengchen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guangdong GZ-Power vinta 47%,Pareggio 27%,Guangxi Hengchen vinta 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Sopra 2.5 62% · Current selection Sopra