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CHN China Division 1 · Spiel ·

Guangdong GZ-Power vs Guangxi Hengchen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg47%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg26%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg47% selection probability
Projected score2–1Guangdong GZ-PowerGuangxi Hengchen
Expected goals3.20Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über62% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
47% / 27% / 26%SpielergebnisHeimsieg47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Guangxi Hengchen win (25.9%)Doppelte Chance1X74.1%1.35
Über 62% · Unter 38%Goals 2.5Über62%1.61
Ja 63% · Nein 37%Beide Teams treffenJa63%1.59
3.20 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.1 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapGuangxi Hengchen winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Guangdong GZ-Power win47%2.131.9147.1%-0.1 pp
Unentschieden27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
Guangxi Hengchen win26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guangdong GZ-Power1.83

Heim share of expected goals 57.2%

Total expected goals3.20Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 62% · Unter 38%

Guangxi Hengchen1.37

Auswärts share of expected goals 42.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 63% · Nein 37%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Guangdong GZ-Power

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Guangxi Hengchen

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
26%
11
Points from supplied form
13
1.83
Expected goals
1.37
Guangdong GZ-PowerGuangxi Hengchen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guangdong GZ-Power signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Guangxi Hengchen signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Guangdong GZ-Power vs Guangxi Hengchen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guangdong GZ-Power Gewinn 47%,Unentschieden 27%,Guangxi Hengchen Gewinn 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Über 2.5 62% · Current selection Über