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AUT Austria - Regionalliga Est · Partita ·

Parndorf vs SV Donau

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score3–13.75 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa70%
Pareggio18%
Vittoria ospite12%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 70% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa70% selection probability
Projected score3–1ParndorfSV Donau
Expected goals3.75Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra72% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
70% / 18% / 12%Esito partitaVittoria casa70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SV Donau win (12.4%)Doppia Chance1X87.6%1.14
Sopra 72% · Sotto 28%Goals 2.5Sopra72%1.39
Sì 56% · No 44%Entrambe le squadre segnano56%1.79
3.75 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapSV Donau winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Parndorf win70%1.431.2969.3%+0.7 pp
Pareggio18%5.565.0017.9%+0.1 pp
SV Donau win12%8.337.0012.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Parndorf2.85

Casa share of expected goals 76%

Total expected goals3.75Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 72% · Sotto 28%

SV Donau0.90

Trasferta share of expected goals 24%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 56% · No 44%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Parndorf

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

SV Donau

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
70%
Vinta probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
5
2.85
Expected goals
0.90
ParndorfSV Donau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Parndorf signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SV Donau signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk30% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Parndorf vs SV Donau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–1 · 70% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Parndorf vinta 70%,Pareggio 18%,SV Donau vinta 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.75 · Sopra 2.5 72% · Current selection Sopra