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AUT Österreich - Regionalliga Ost · Spiel ·

Parndorf vs SV Donau

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–13.75 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg70%
Unentschieden18%
Auswärtssieg12%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 70% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg70% selection probability
Projected score3–1ParndorfSV Donau
Expected goals3.75Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über72% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
70% / 18% / 12%SpielergebnisHeimsieg70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SV Donau win (12.4%)Doppelte Chance1X87.6%1.14
Über 72% · Unter 28%Goals 2.5Über72%1.39
Ja 56% · Nein 44%Beide Teams treffenJa56%1.79
3.75 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–1
8.6 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapSV Donau winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Parndorf win70%1.431.2969.3%+0.7 pp
Unentschieden18%5.565.0017.9%+0.1 pp
SV Donau win12%8.337.0012.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Parndorf2.85

Heim share of expected goals 76%

Total expected goals3.75Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 72% · Unter 28%

SV Donau0.90

Auswärts share of expected goals 24%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nein 44%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Parndorf

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

SV Donau

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
70%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
5
2.85
Expected goals
0.90
ParndorfSV Donau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Parndorf signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SV Donau signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk30% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Parndorf vs SV Donau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–1 · 70% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Parndorf Gewinn 70%,Unentschieden 18%,SV Donau Gewinn 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.75 · Über 2.5 72% · Current selection Über