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EUR UEFA Champions League Qualifying · Partita ·

Stella Rossa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva

Archived pre-match prediction

Casa form
Projected score2–12.72 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa49%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite26%
Baseline forecastVittoria casaTier C · 49% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa49% selection probability
Projected score2–1Stella RossaHapoel Beer Sheva
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra51% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
49% / 25% / 26%Esito partitaVittoria casa49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Doppia Chance1275.3%1.33
Sopra 51% · Sotto 49%Goals 2.5Sopra51%1.96
Sì 53% · No 47%Entrambe le squadre segnano53%1.89
2.72 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Stella Rossa win49%2.04
Pareggio25%4.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stella Rossa1.62

Casa share of expected goals 59.6%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 51% · Sotto 49%

Hapoel Beer Sheva1.10

Trasferta share of expected goals 40.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Stella Rossa

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Hapoel Beer Sheva

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Vinta probability excluding draw
26%
12
Points from supplied form
10
1.62
Expected goals
1.10
Stella RossaHapoel Beer Sheva
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stella Rossa signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hapoel Beer Sheva signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Stella Rossa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stella Rossa vinta 49%,Pareggio 25%,Hapoel Beer Sheva vinta 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Sopra 2.5 51% · Current selection Sopra