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SRB Serbia Super Liga · Round 1 ·

IMT Novi Belgrade vs Radnicki Nis

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.05 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa41%
Pareggio32%
Vittoria ospite27%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa41% selection probability
Projected score1–1IMT Novi BelgradeRadnicki Nis
Expected goals2.05Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto66% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
41% / 32% / 27%Esito partitaVittoria casa41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Radnicki Nis win (26.9%)Doppia Chance1X73.1%1.37
Sopra 34% · Sotto 66%Goals 2.5Sotto66%1.52
Sì 40% · No 60%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo60%1.67
2.05 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
IMT Novi Belgrade win41%2.44
Pareggio32%3.13
Radnicki Nis win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IMT Novi Belgrade1.23

Casa share of expected goals 60%

Total expected goals2.05Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 34% · Sotto 66%

Radnicki Nis0.82

Trasferta share of expected goals 40%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

IMT Novi Belgrade

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa won 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Radnicki Nis

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vinta probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.23
Expected goals
0.82
IMT Novi BelgradeRadnicki Nis
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IMT Novi Belgrade signalCasa won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Radnicki Nis signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

IMT Novi Belgrade vs Radnicki Nis FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IMT Novi Belgrade vinta 41%,Pareggio 32%,Radnicki Nis vinta 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.05 · Sopra 2.5 34% · Current selection Sotto