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SRB Serbia Super Liga · Round 1 ·

IMT Novi Belgrade vs Radnicki Nis

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.05 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr41%
Uafgjort32%
Udesejr27%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr41% selection probability
Projected score1–1IMT Novi BelgradeRadnicki Nis
Expected goals2.05Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under66% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
41% / 32% / 27%KampresultatHjemmesejr41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Radnicki Nis win (26.9%)Dobbeltchance1X73.1%1.37
Over 34% · Under 66%Goals 2.5Under66%1.52
Ja 40% · Nej 60%Begge hold scorerNej60%1.67
2.05 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
IMT Novi Belgrade win41%2.44
Uafgjort32%3.13
Radnicki Nis win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IMT Novi Belgrade1.23

Hjemme share of expected goals 60%

Total expected goals2.05Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 34% · Under 66%

Radnicki Nis0.82

Ude share of expected goals 40%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 40% · Nej 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

IMT Novi Belgrade

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Radnicki Nis

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Point6

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vundet probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.23
Expected goals
0.82
IMT Novi BelgradeRadnicki Nis
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IMT Novi Belgrade signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Radnicki Nis signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

IMT Novi Belgrade vs Radnicki Nis FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IMT Novi Belgrade vundet 41%,Uafgjort 32%,Radnicki Nis vundet 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.05 · Over 2.5 34% · Current selection Under