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ENG Inghilterra - EFL Cup · Partita ·

Crewe vs Accrington Stanley

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.71 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa50%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite25%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 50% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa50% selection probability
Projected score2–1CreweAccrington Stanley
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra51% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
50% / 25% / 25%Esito partitaVittoria casa50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Accrington Stanley win (24.6%)Doppia Chance1X75.4%1.33
Sopra 51% · Sotto 49%Goals 2.5Sopra51%1.96
Sì 55% · No 45%Entrambe le squadre segnano55%1.82
2.71 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Crewe win50%2.001.8052%
Pareggio25%4.003.8024.6%
Accrington Stanley win25%4.004.0023.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Crewe1.57

Casa share of expected goals 57.9%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 51% · Sotto 49%

Accrington Stanley1.14

Trasferta share of expected goals 42.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Crewe

0.00pts / match
Giocate1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Punti0

SignalNo recent signal

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Accrington Stanley

1.50pts / match
Giocate2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Punti3

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Vinta probability excluding draw
25%
0
Points from supplied form
3
1.57
Expected goals
1.14
CreweAccrington Stanley
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Crewe signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Accrington Stanley signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Crewe vs Accrington Stanley FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Crewe vinta 50%,Pareggio 25%,Accrington Stanley vinta 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Sopra 2.5 51% · Current selection Sopra