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ENG England EFL Cup · Match ·

Crewe vs Accrington Stanley

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.71 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile50%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur25%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 50% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile50% selection probability
Projected score2–1CreweAccrington Stanley
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de51% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
50% / 25% / 25%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Accrington Stanley win (24.6%)Double chance1X75.4%1.33
Plus de 51% · Moins de 49%Goals 2.5Plus de51%1.96
Oui 55% · Non 45%Les deux équipes marquentOui55%1.82
2.71 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Crewe win50%2.001.8052%
Nul25%4.003.8024.6%
Accrington Stanley win25%4.004.0023.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Crewe1.57

Domicile share of expected goals 57.9%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 51% · Moins de 49%

Accrington Stanley1.14

Extérieur share of expected goals 42.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 55% · Non 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Crewe

0.00pts / match
Joués1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0

SignalNon recent signal

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Accrington Stanley

1.50pts / match
Joués2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Points3

SignalNon recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Gagné probability excluding draw
25%
0
Points from supplied form
3
1.57
Expected goals
1.14
CreweAccrington Stanley
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Crewe signalNon recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Accrington Stanley signalNon recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Crewe vs Accrington Stanley FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Crewe victoire 50%,Nul 25%,Accrington Stanley victoire 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Plus de 2.5 51% · Current selection Plus de