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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Final ·

TPV II vs Ylojarvi United

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score5–3Pronostico 2–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa69%
Pareggio17%
Vittoria ospite14%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 69% selection probability
Prediction Vinto
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa69% selection probability
Projected score2–1TPV IIYlojarvi United
Expected goals2.76Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra52% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
69% / 17% / 14%Esito partitaVittoria casa69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ylojarvi United win (14.4%)Doppia Chance1X85.6%1.17
Sopra 52% · Sotto 48%Goals 2.5Sopra52%1.92
Sì 54% · No 46%Entrambe le squadre segnano54%1.85
2.76 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapTPV II winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
TPV II win69%1.451.2770.1%-1.1 pp
Pareggio17%5.885.5016.2%+0.8 pp
Ylojarvi United win14%7.146.5013.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

TPV II1.68

Casa share of expected goals 60.9%

Total expected goals2.76Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 52% · Sotto 48%

Ylojarvi United1.08

Trasferta share of expected goals 39.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

TPV II

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Ylojarvi United

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Vinta probability excluding draw
14%
12
Points from supplied form
7
1.68
Expected goals
1.08
TPV IIYlojarvi United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01TPV II signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ylojarvi United signalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

TPV II vs Ylojarvi United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

TPV II vinta 69%,Pareggio 17%,Ylojarvi United vinta 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.76 · Sopra 2.5 52% · Current selection Sopra