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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Final ·

TPV II vs Ylojarvi United

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score5–3Prognose 2–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg69%
Unentschieden17%
Auswärtssieg14%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 69% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg69% selection probability
Projected score2–1TPV IIYlojarvi United
Expected goals2.76Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über52% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
69% / 17% / 14%SpielergebnisHeimsieg69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ylojarvi United win (14.4%)Doppelte Chance1X85.6%1.17
Über 52% · Unter 48%Goals 2.5Über52%1.92
Ja 54% · Nein 46%Beide Teams treffenJa54%1.85
2.76 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.0 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapTPV II winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
TPV II win69%1.451.2770.1%-1.1 pp
Unentschieden17%5.885.5016.2%+0.8 pp
Ylojarvi United win14%7.146.5013.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

TPV II1.68

Heim share of expected goals 60.9%

Total expected goals2.76Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 52% · Unter 48%

Ylojarvi United1.08

Auswärts share of expected goals 39.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nein 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

TPV II

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Ylojarvi United

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
14%
12
Points from supplied form
7
1.68
Expected goals
1.08
TPV IIYlojarvi United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01TPV II signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ylojarvi United signalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

TPV II vs Ylojarvi United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

TPV II Gewinn 69%,Unentschieden 17%,Ylojarvi United Gewinn 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.76 · Über 2.5 52% · Current selection Über