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KOR Corea del Sud - K-League 1 · Partita ·

Pohang Steelers vs Ulsan HD

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.16 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa36%
Pareggio31%
Vittoria ospite33%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Pohang SteelersUlsan HD
Expected goals2.16Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto63% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
36% / 31% / 33%Esito partitaVittoria casa36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.2%)Doppia Chance1268.8%1.45
Sopra 37% · Sotto 63%Goals 2.5Sotto63%1.59
Sì 44% · No 56%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo56%1.79
2.16 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Pohang Steelers win36%2.78
Pareggio31%3.23
Ulsan HD win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pohang Steelers1.12

Casa share of expected goals 51.9%

Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 37% · Sotto 63%

Ulsan HD1.04

Trasferta share of expected goals 48.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Pohang Steelers

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Ulsan HD

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Vinta probability excluding draw
33%
3
Points from supplied form
7
1.12
Expected goals
1.04
Pohang SteelersUlsan HD
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pohang Steelers signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ulsan HD signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Pohang Steelers vs Ulsan HD FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pohang Steelers vinta 36%,Pareggio 31%,Ulsan HD vinta 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.16 · Sopra 2.5 37% · Current selection Sotto