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POL Polonia - Liga III · Partita ·

Olimpia Elblag vs Polonia Lidzbark

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.22 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa45%
Pareggio23%
Vittoria ospite32%
Baseline forecastVittoria casaTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa45% selection probability
Projected score2–1Olimpia ElblagPolonia Lidzbark
Expected goals3.22Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra62% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
45% / 23% / 32%Esito partitaVittoria casa45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23%)Doppia Chance1277%1.30
Sopra 62% · Sotto 38%Goals 2.5Sopra62%1.61
Sì 64% · No 36%Entrambe le squadre segnano64%1.56
3.22 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Olimpia Elblag win45%2.22
Pareggio23%4.35
Polonia Lidzbark win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Olimpia Elblag1.77

Casa share of expected goals 55%

Total expected goals3.22Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 62% · Sotto 38%

Polonia Lidzbark1.45

Trasferta share of expected goals 45%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 64% · No 36%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Olimpia Elblag

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Polonia Lidzbark

0.00pts / match
Giocate2Wins0Drawn0Losses2Punti0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Vinta probability excluding draw
32%
7
Points from supplied form
0
1.77
Expected goals
1.45
Olimpia ElblagPolonia Lidzbark
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Olimpia Elblag signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Polonia Lidzbark signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Olimpia Elblag vs Polonia Lidzbark FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Olimpia Elblag vinta 45%,Pareggio 23%,Polonia Lidzbark vinta 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Sopra 2.5 62% · Current selection Sopra