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BEL Belgio - Prima divisione A · Final ·

KV Mechelen vs Standard Liegi

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score3–3Pronostico 1–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa35%
Pareggio29%
Vittoria ospite36%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Perso
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite36% selection probability
Projected score1–1KV MechelenStandard Liegi
Expected goals2.21Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto62% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
35% / 29% / 36%Esito partitaVittoria ospite36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.9%)Doppia Chance1271.1%1.41
Sopra 38% · Sotto 62%Goals 2.5Sotto62%1.61
Sì 45% · No 55%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo55%1.82
2.21 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapKV Mechelen winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
KV Mechelen win35%2.862.6335.6%-0.6 pp
Pareggio29%3.453.2528.8%+0.2 pp
Standard Liegi win36%2.782.6335.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KV Mechelen1.06

Casa share of expected goals 48%

Total expected goals2.21Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 38% · Sotto 62%

Standard Liegi1.15

Trasferta share of expected goals 52%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 45% · No 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

KV Mechelen

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Standard Liegi

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Vinta probability excluding draw
36%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.06
Expected goals
1.15
KV MechelenStandard Liegi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KV Mechelen signalCasa failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Standard Liegi signalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

KV Mechelen vs Standard Liegi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KV Mechelen vinta 35%,Pareggio 29%,Standard Liegi vinta 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.21 · Sopra 2.5 38% · Current selection Sotto