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BEL Belgien - 1. division A · Final ·

KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score3–3Prognose 1–1
Ude form
Hjemmesejr35%
Uafgjort29%
Udesejr36%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Tabt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr36% selection probability
Projected score1–1KV MechelenStandard Liege
Expected goals2.21Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under62% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
35% / 29% / 36%KampresultatUdesejr36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.9%)Dobbeltchance1271.1%1.41
Over 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Ja 45% · Nej 55%Begge hold scorerNej55%1.82
2.21 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapKV Mechelen winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
KV Mechelen win35%2.862.6335.6%-0.6 pp
Uafgjort29%3.453.2528.8%+0.2 pp
Standard Liege win36%2.782.6335.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KV Mechelen1.06

Hjemme share of expected goals 48%

Total expected goals2.21Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 38% · Under 62%

Standard Liege1.15

Ude share of expected goals 52%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nej 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

KV Mechelen

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Standard Liege

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalUde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Vundet probability excluding draw
36%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.06
Expected goals
1.15
KV MechelenStandard Liege
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KV Mechelen signalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Standard Liege signalUde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KV Mechelen vundet 35%,Uafgjort 29%,Standard Liege vundet 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.21 · Over 2.5 38% · Current selection Under