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ARG Argentina - Nacional B · Partita ·

Ferrocarril Midland vs Nueva Chicago

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–01.69 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa50%
Pareggio33%
Vittoria ospite17%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa50% selection probability
Projected score1–0Ferrocarril MidlandNueva Chicago
Expected goals1.69Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto76% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo75% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
50% / 33% / 17%Esito partitaVittoria casa50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nueva Chicago win (17.5%)Doppia Chance1X82.5%1.21
Sopra 24% · Sotto 76%Goals 2.5Sotto76%1.32
Sì 25% · No 75%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo75%1.33
1.69 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–0
8.1 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Ferrocarril Midland win50%2.00
Pareggio33%3.03
Nueva Chicago win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ferrocarril Midland1.26

Casa share of expected goals 74.6%

Total expected goals1.69Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 24% · Sotto 76%

Nueva Chicago0.43

Trasferta share of expected goals 25.4%

Projected score1–0BTTS split 25% · No 75%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Ferrocarril Midland

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punti6

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Nueva Chicago

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3

SignalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Vinta probability excluding draw
17%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.26
Expected goals
0.43
Ferrocarril MidlandNueva Chicago
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ferrocarril Midland signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nueva Chicago signalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Ferrocarril Midland vs Nueva Chicago FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–0 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ferrocarril Midland vinta 50%,Pareggio 33%,Nueva Chicago vinta 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.69 · Sopra 2.5 24% · Current selection Sotto