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ESP Spagna - Segunda Division · Partita ·

Leganes vs Eldense

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.61 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa44%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite30%
Baseline forecastVittoria casaTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa44% selection probability
Projected score1–1LeganesEldense
Expected goals2.61Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto52% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
44% / 26% / 30%Esito partitaVittoria casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Doppia Chance1273.9%1.35
Sopra 48% · Sotto 52%Goals 2.5Sotto52%1.92
Sì 52% · No 48%Entrambe le squadre segnano52%1.92
2.61 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Leganes win44%2.27
Pareggio26%3.85
Eldense win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leganes1.45

Casa share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals2.61Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 48% · Sotto 52%

Eldense1.16

Trasferta share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Leganes

2.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punti11

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Eldense

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vinta probability excluding draw
30%
11
Points from supplied form
4
1.45
Expected goals
1.16
LeganesEldense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leganes signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Eldense signalCasa clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Leganes vs Eldense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leganes vinta 44%,Pareggio 26%,Eldense vinta 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.61 · Sopra 2.5 48% · Current selection Sotto