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ESP Spagna - Segunda Division · Partita ·

Cadiz vs Valladolid

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.09 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa39%
Pareggio31%
Vittoria ospite30%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa39% selection probability
Projected score1–1CadizValladolid
Expected goals2.09Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto65% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
39% / 31% / 30%Esito partitaVittoria casa39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Valladolid win (29.9%)Doppia Chance1X70.1%1.43
Sopra 35% · Sotto 65%Goals 2.5Sotto65%1.54
Sì 42% · No 58%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo58%1.72
2.09 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.1%Largest probability gapCadiz winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cadiz win39%2.562.3539.3%-0.3 pp
Pareggio31%3.233.0030.8%+0.2 pp
Valladolid win30%3.333.1029.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cadiz1.13

Casa share of expected goals 54.1%

Total expected goals2.09Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 35% · Sotto 65%

Valladolid0.96

Trasferta share of expected goals 45.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 42% · No 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Cadiz

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punti6

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Valladolid

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vinta probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.13
Expected goals
0.96
CadizValladolid
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cadiz signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Valladolid signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Cadiz vs Valladolid FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cadiz vinta 39%,Pareggio 31%,Valladolid vinta 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.09 · Sopra 2.5 35% · Current selection Sotto