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INT Argentina - Liga Profesional riserve · Final ·

Velez Sarsfield riserve vs Atletico Tucuman riserve

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score2–0Pronostico 2–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa63%
Pareggio22%
Vittoria ospite16%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 63% selection probability
Prediction Vinto
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa63% selection probability
Projected score2–1Velez Sarsfield riserveAtletico Tucuman riserve
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra53% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
63% / 22% / 16%Esito partitaVittoria casa63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atletico Tucuman riserve win (15.5%)Doppia Chance1X84.5%1.18
Sopra 53% · Sotto 47%Goals 2.5Sopra53%1.89
Sì 48% · No 52%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52%1.92
2.79 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapVelez Sarsfield riserve winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Velez Sarsfield riserve win63%1.591.4462.4%+0.6 pp
Pareggio22%4.554.1021.9%+0.1 pp
Atletico Tucuman riserve win16%6.255.7515.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Velez Sarsfield riserve1.99

Casa share of expected goals 71.3%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 53% · Sotto 47%

Atletico Tucuman riserve0.80

Trasferta share of expected goals 28.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Velez Sarsfield riserve

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Atletico Tucuman riserve

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Vinta probability excluding draw
16%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.99
Expected goals
0.80
Velez Sarsfield riserveAtletico Tucuman riserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Velez Sarsfield riserve signalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico Tucuman riserve signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Velez Sarsfield riserve vs Atletico Tucuman riserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Velez Sarsfield riserve vinta 63%,Pareggio 22%,Atletico Tucuman riserve vinta 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Sopra 2.5 53% · Current selection Sopra