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INT Argentinien - Liga Profesional - Reserve · Final ·

Velez Sarsfield - Reserve vs Atlético Tucumán - Reserve

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score2–0Prognose 2–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg63%
Unentschieden22%
Auswärtssieg16%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 63% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg63% selection probability
Projected score2–1Velez Sarsfield - ReserveAtlético Tucumán - Reserve
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über53% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
63% / 22% / 16%SpielergebnisHeimsieg63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atlético Tucumán - Reserve win (15.5%)Doppelte Chance1X84.5%1.18
Über 53% · Unter 47%Goals 2.5Über53%1.89
Ja 48% · Nein 52%Beide Teams treffenNein52%1.92
2.79 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.5 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapVelez Sarsfield - Reserve winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Velez Sarsfield - Reserve win63%1.591.4462.4%+0.6 pp
Unentschieden22%4.554.1021.9%+0.1 pp
Atlético Tucumán - Reserve win16%6.255.7515.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Velez Sarsfield - Reserve1.99

Heim share of expected goals 71.3%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 53% · Unter 47%

Atlético Tucumán - Reserve0.80

Auswärts share of expected goals 28.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nein 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Velez Sarsfield - Reserve

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Atlético Tucumán - Reserve

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
16%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.99
Expected goals
0.80
Velez Sarsfield - ReserveAtlético Tucumán - Reserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Velez Sarsfield - Reserve signalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atlético Tucumán - Reserve signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Velez Sarsfield - Reserve vs Atlético Tucumán - Reserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Velez Sarsfield - Reserve Gewinn 63%,Unentschieden 22%,Atlético Tucumán - Reserve Gewinn 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Über 2.5 53% · Current selection Über