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NLD Hollandia - Eredivisie · Mérkőzés ·

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–23.11 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem24%
Döntetlen26%
Vendég győzelem50%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem50% selection probability
Projected score1–2PEC ZwolleAjax
Expected goals3.11Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett60% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
24% / 26% / 50%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes PEC Zwolle win (24.2%)Dupla esélyX275.8%1.32
Felett 60% · Alatt 40%Goals 2.5Felett60%1.67
Igen 58% · Nem 42%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen58%1.72
3.11 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–2
10.1 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
PEC Zwolle win24%4.17
Döntetlen26%3.85
Ajax win50%2.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

PEC Zwolle1.10

Hazai share of expected goals 35.4%

Total expected goals3.11Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 60% · Alatt 40%

Ajax2.01

Vendég share of expected goals 64.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitIgen 58% · Nem 42%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

PEC Zwolle

0.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Pontok3

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Ajax

3.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Pontok15

SignalHazai failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Nyert probability excluding draw
50%
3
Points from supplied form
15
1.10
Expected goals
2.01
PEC ZwolleAjax
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01PEC Zwolle signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ajax signalHazai failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

PEC Zwolle nyer 24%,Döntetlen 26%,Ajax nyer 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · 2.5 felett 60% · Current selection Felett