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NLD Países Bajos - Eredivisie · Partido ·

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–23.11 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local24%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante50%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante50% selection probability
Projected score1–2PEC ZwolleAjax
Expected goals3.11Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de60% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
24% / 26% / 50%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes PEC Zwolle win (24.2%)Doble OportunidadX275.8%1.32
Más de 60% · Menos de 40%Goals 2.5Más de60%1.67
Sí 58% · No 42%Ambos equipos marcan58%1.72
3.11 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–2
10.1 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
PEC Zwolle win24%4.17
Empate26%3.85
Ajax win50%2.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

PEC Zwolle1.10

Local share of expected goals 35.4%

Total expected goals3.11Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 60% · Menos de 40%

Ajax2.01

Visitante share of expected goals 64.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 58% · No 42%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

PEC Zwolle

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puntos3

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Ajax

3.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puntos15

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Ganado probability excluding draw
50%
3
Points from supplied form
15
1.10
Expected goals
2.01
PEC ZwolleAjax
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01PEC Zwolle signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ajax signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

PEC Zwolle ganada 24%,Empate 26%,Ajax ganada 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · Más de 2.5 60% · Current selection Más de